Last Week "China Shengze Silk Chemical Fiber Index" Comment

According to the data monitored by 350 purchasing units, China's Shengze silk chemical fiber index continued to cool this week.

Among them, the total index of chemical fiber index closed at 98.94 points, compared with the same period in the previous week, dropped 0.15 points, and the chemical fiber fabric price index plummeted after reaching a high point last Friday. It is now down 0.13 points compared with the previous week, closing at 98.12 points, and the chemical fiber index has mixed and closed at 100.12 points, a slight decrease of 0.02 points compared with the same period in the previous week.

Meanwhile, this week's cocoon and silk products price index continued to be weak and sluggish early, closing at 102.23 points, down 0.09 points compared with the same period in the previous week.

On the Conghua fiber price index product trend chart, we can see that the chemical fiber index has a linear downward trend this week.

This is mainly due to the fact that the fabric market has entered the traditional off-season, and the market orders have been significantly reduced, especially the external orders.

So with the fall in volume, the index fell.

As a market person in Shengze has described, the recent market road is not so crowded. Only private cars are available. Very few loading trucks have been opened.

This shows that the current market is deserted.

In addition, the raw material index is also generally low, mainly because the downstream manufacturers continue to catch up with the intention to weaken.

Although the upstream cost is strong, the production and sales of the factory have picked up slightly, but there are many of them in the factory.

The price index of cocoon and silk products is still under the influence of weakening market demand in the off-season this week, continuing the trend of last week's decline.

The price index of chemical fiber fabrics has plummeted this week.

According to the market, polyester Hua Yao has a good trend in recent years and its price has been raised.

Hua Yao fabric has many years of sales history in the Shengze market. It has many specifications, colorful, and full range, and belongs to the public fabric products.

Among them, 75D double spray flower Yao rose the largest. The warp knitted fabric was made of polyester FDY75D, twisting polyester DTY150D was used for weft yarn, and fabric weave was changed on double jet looms by plain weave.

Its cloth is soft, light and slippery. It is used for making casual jackets, suits and so on. As the product is suitable for both young and old, it is quite popular in the market recently.

In terms of bags and fabrics, there will be a rapid growth in demand for student bags and travelling bags in the second half of the year, so the demand for cloth in Oxford will also increase.

In addition, the recent market, autumn and winter, medium and heavy polyester pants imitation linen fabric has leapt to the forefront of traditional market fabrics of various categories, and the price has been steadily rising.

In the autumn and winter, polyester and warp weft knitted fabrics, such as linen, polyester and linen finish, have considerable market potential. The polyester spun silk yarn and 15D and 20D nylon yarn are still sold in the summer market.

The chiffon of 50D and 75D is long because of its complex process, and is suitable for summer and autumn clothing with good ventilation performance of fabrics, and continues to be popular in the market.

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In terms of chemical fiber, this week's chemical fiber index is mixed, closing at 100.12 points, a slight decrease of 0.02 points compared with the same period in the previous week.

Judging from the price of raw materials in the upstream market, the market price of polyester market has steadily increased this week, and there are a slight increase in the supply of some tight supply products.

Since the beginning of the week, FDY's mainstream offer has risen by 200 yuan to 300 yuan, and some of the specifications have risen by 400 yuan.

DTY part of the specifications increased by 100 yuan, POY mainstream quotation generally rose by 100 yuan to 200 yuan.

For example, Sheng Zeyi's mainstream melt spinning factory ended this weekend with a FDY50D/36F cash offer of 16500 yuan / ton, half light FDY55D/24F cash offer at 16600 yuan / ton, and DTY75D/144F cash offer of 19700 yuan / ton.

The FDY50D/24F acceptance price of another mainstream spinning factory is 16900 yuan / ton, and the POY150D/144F acceptance price is 15900 yuan / ton.

From the sales situation, this week FDY series fine denier silk products performed well, especially 50D/24F, 48F, 75D/72F and other products are still larger.

Production and marketing situation, by the impact of PTA rise, the downstream filling up slightly rebounded, the mainstream manufacturers production and sales in 90%.

Now the downstream market is more calm, but now the polyester factories are low in stock, and the cost factor is beginning to strengthen. The willingness of the polyester manufacturers to raise prices has been improved.

The weaving rate of downstream weaving is stable.

It can be seen that demand pull up and cost push work together.

It is expected that the market of polyester market will continue to push up in the future. The market participants generally believe that the price of polyester, especially FDY, is changing because of the change of supply and demand.

This week the price of polyester raw materials has been rising steadily. PTA futures continued to rise for a week. As of the end of the week, the market price of the PTA market remained on the rise. At present, the price of the domestic market was 9350 yuan, up 200 yuan from the beginning of the week.

The external market also rose. The price of China's Taiwan goods rose to $1200, up from $20 earlier this week.

On the upstream side, crude oil prices continued to rise this week after falling early in the week, and the closing price of New York crude futures in August has risen to $98.14.

Downstream, PET bottles this week

This week, the silk price index was 102.23 points, 0.09 points lower than last week, showing a reduction in the price parity.

Since late June, the silk price index has continued downhill this week and continues to fall.

The main reason is that the white silk has entered the downstream channel, and the price of silk has also declined.

The price of silk fell by 40 thousand yuan / ton a month from the turning point of silk price last month.

This network analysis has pointed out from May that risk is accumulating. Enterprises should use less silk and less silk.

Of course, in actual production and operation, it is impossible to avoid risks completely, and it is impossible to stop production all the time.

If a manufacturer of 100 looms is well controlled, 50 looms per loom will occupy more than 5 tons of raw material, and it may cost more than ten thousand yuan.

If the amount of silk is not controlled well, it may cost hundreds of thousands of dollars.

The risk of the release of the trend must always be part of the practitioners. This year's silk reeling factory is destined to make small profits or even no profit.

The price of silk has been rising for two years, and the silk reeling factory has made some money.

Under the guidance of inertial thinking, the purchase price of spring cocoons last month surpassed that of last year, a record high of 370 thousand yuan per ton of silk cocoons.

Now the risk of cocoon silk industry is coming to the silk reeling industry.

On the whole, cocoon and silk index will continue to fall in the short term.